Understanding How to Use Risk to Reward Ratio

Author: Ahmad Hassam  //  Category: loans
by Ahmad Hassam

Many new traders think that a good entry into the markets for each trade is the key to success. Most are wrong, unfortunately. What is more important is trading with a good risk to reward ratio that has a high probability to making a profit. A risk to reward ratio compares the potential for reward with the potential for loss.

Risk is measured by counting the number of pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you want to exit the market in case of a losing trade. A trader must view each trade as a business transaction. Risk is just a measure of how much you can lose in a trade.

Reward is calculated by counting the number of pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you would want to exit the market in case of a winning trade. Reward is the expected number of pips that you want to make in a trade.

To manage risk properly, you need to look for high probability trades that have a risk to reward ratio of 1:2 or greater. This depends on the time frame that you want to trade. For example, if you are a day trader and you are looking for making only 30 pips in a trade, a stop loss of 15 pips is sufficient for the risk to reward ratio of 1:2.

However, suppose you are a swing trader or a position trader with a longer time frame. Your profit potential will be more on a longer time frame. Suppose you choose 200 pips as your expected profit. You will need to set your stop loss at 100 pips.

Retracements on shorter time frame are much smaller. Retracement on the larger time frame is much bigger. The reason that you need to set a higher stop loss on a larger time frame is that small trends occur within the larger trend. In order to be not stopped out of the trade, you need to calculate your risk to reward ratio appropriately. Due to smaller trends in the larger trends, your trade is going to be recycled.

Many traders agree that next to maximizing profits, the second most important thing for them is minimizing losses. A trading system that wins only 50% of the time on average can still be profitable. Most of the traders want to make money but dont know how to protect what they currently have.

You have a 50/50 chance of the currency market going your way. It is just like flipping a coin. In case, the trade does not develop in your favor and the market is going against you, you should cut your losses by using stop losses. In simple terms, you cut your losses and let your winners run. This simple 50/50 trading strategy earns a profit even when a novice trader might experience a loss.

Consider different risk to reward ratios. How much you need to win to break even for each ratio? For a 2:1 risk to reward ratio, you need 67% winners to become profitable. For a 1:1 risk to reward ratio, it means just 50% winners to become profitable. 1:2 ratio means only 33.5% winners for profitability. Never ever trade when the risk to reward ratio is more than 1:2.

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Learn More Technical Indicators

Author: Ahmad Hassam  //  Category: loans
by Ahmad Hassam

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is the difference between the 26 day and 12 day exponential moving average. A 9 day exponential moving average called the signal or a trigger is plotted on top of MACD to show buy sell opportunities.

You can use MACD in three ways: Crossover, overbought/oversold conditions and divergences. In wide swinging markets, MACD proves most effective. When MACD falls below the signal line, the basic rule is to sell. Similarly, when MACD rises above the signal line and cuts it from below, it is a buy signal.

MACD is also very useful in telling whether the market is overbought or oversold. When the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average, it is likely the price has overextended itself and it will comeback to the realistic levels.

An indication that an end to the current trend may occur soon is when MACD diverges from the currency pair. A bearish divergence occurs when MACD is making new lows and the currency price fails to reach those lows. Similarly, a bullish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new highs but the currency price fails to reach those highs.

Momentum is an oscillator that indicates the rate of price change. This oscillator is the net difference between the currency closing price and the oldest closing price from the predetermined period. The shorter the number of days included in the calculations, the more responsive the momentum oscillator will be to the short term price fluctuations. The signal is triggered when the oscillator crosses the zero line.

Another important technical indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and it indicates a markets current strength or weaknesses depending on where the prices close during a given period. RSI is plotted on a scale of 01-100 and a buy signal is triggered when RSI moves up from the lower band above 30. Similarly, a sell signal is triggered when RSI moves down from the upper band and comes down below a level usually set at 70.

Rate of Change (ROC) is another version of momentum oscillator is calculated by dividing the current closing price with the oldest closing price instead of subtracting the oldest closing price from the current closing price as in the momentum oscillator. It is sometimes used.

One of the most popular indictors is the Volume Indicator. A movement accompanied by an increasing volume is more likely to continue in strength than a movement accompanied with decreasing volume which is likely to fade away. It is used to show the strength of an up or down movement.

Many traders use volume indicator as their only technical indicator in trading. Others use it in conjunction with price charts and fundamental analysis like economic news and geopolitical news. The Volume Indicator is a great source of confirmation. It gives entry and exit signals and helps in overall trading. You should learn to use these technical indicators. You should become comfortable in using them. Use them to discern trends on different currency pairs and time intervals.

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In USA Who Is The Biggest MOrtgage Lender

Author: Graham McKenzie  //  Category: loans
by Graham McKenzie

The current economic environment has been quite volatile. This has been most keenly felt by the real estate market and its tangent, the mortgage market. Unlike in the past, most mortgage companies are no longer carefree about handing out large mortgages (or even small mortgages for that matter). Whiles some companies are seeing their success flee during these hard times, some mortgage companies have been able to seize the opportunity offered by this economic climate and actually increase their market share.

An example of this is Wells Fargo. Their success, after merging with Wachovia, is indeed stunning because where they are succeeding their rivals are struggling. Take for instance their closest rival (the number two lender in the country), Bank of America. Recently Bank of America acquired Countrywide Financial Corp and as a result they have toiled. The same is true of JP Morgan & Co who acquired the troubled Washington Mutual Bank. JP Morgan, while in the top 5 of mortgage lenders, has felt the sting of this suffering economy.

There heaps other large advance lenders in the US as well such as, Bank of America that comes in number two but they are still struggling to overcome the acquisition of Countrywide Financial Corp. JPMorgan & Co. and Washington Mutual Bank seemed to see a good hit from the downed family but are still in the top 5 prime finance lenders.

MetLife jumped into the top ten mortgage lenders after its acquisition of First Horizon National Corp mortgage operations and has seen an almost binary in question amount than the prior year.

While the big mortgage companies can offer you more loan programs and possibly a larger loan, there are smaller companies out there that are still in the game. They might be worth a look; especially if your credit rating has, shall we say, a few blemishes. It?s all well and good that the big companies have all these programs, but what good are these programs if the big companies don?t want to deal with you because of your imperfect credit. Smaller companies are generally a little more forgiving than their larger counterparts.

Many small companies have the ability to offer you the same interest rates as the larger banks that dominate the market. The larger banks probably have more loan programs from which to chose but many smaller institutions want your business and may be willing to work closer with you, especially if you have had credit problems. The larger companies will not be so willing to work with you if you have a credit history that is not perfect.

Your repute should be in tip top outline before applying for a mortgage to be able to acquire the best mortgage and the buck evaluate. You should inhibit your standing record to guarantee that there are no mistakes and make clearly to make all your payments on time to keep that etch as high as probable. Most of the large companies will compel that you have good to complete faith while other companies will overlook the flaws and tender you advance programs with excluding than finished status. You have to keep in mentality while that you will be paying a superior speed with the small guys so it is best to work on your prestige first; it could prevent you thousands of dollars on your global gain payments.

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Learning Technical Analysis Terminology

Author: Ahmad Hassam  //  Category: loans
by Ahmad Hassam

As a forex trader, you should learn technical analysis. You need to understand the various terms that are frequently used in Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is the study of historical and ongoing price data through charts, price patterns and chart indicators. Charts display price moves in time intervals using bars and candlesticks.

Technical Analysis is based on the following assumptions. The most important is that all available information is already impounded in the market prices of the currencies. The second assumption says that prices always move in trends or patterns. The third assumption says that history repeats itself meaning you can predict the future market by studying the past market prices.

We follow trends because experience has shown that once a trend is in motion, it is most likely to continue rather than reverse it. The more one studies chart patterns, the clearer it becomes that reading and interpreting chart patterns are more an art form than a skill.

Two charts are important in technical analysis. Bar charts and Candlesticks charts. Bar charts display price data in vertical lines that represents price action during a given time period. The tip at the bottom of a bar chart is the low for the period. The tip at the top is the high for the period. The open and close are represented by small horizontal dashes called tics. The tic to the left of the vertical line is the open. The tic to the right of the line is the close.

Candlestick charts are similar to bar charts. Like the bar charts, the top of the vertical line represent the high and the bottom of the vertical line represents the low. However, the price action between the open and the close is represented differently by the use of candlestick bodies. A shaded body represents a lower closing below a higher opening. A hollow body represents a higher closing above a lower opening.

The price action above and below the body is referred to as tails or wicks. A forex day trader may use any one of the 3, 5, 10, 15, 30, 60 and 180 minutes charts. A swing and position trader may use a daily, weekly or a monthly chart while doing technical analysis. These charts all use the Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) or the Eastern Standard Time (EST) depending on the software that your broker platform uses. But you can always adjust these times according to your local time.

While doing technical analysis, you need to understand what are markets patterns? What are Uptrends? What are downtrends and what are sideway trends? Markets expand and retrace constantly. Market prices may continue to expand for sometimes either upward or downward. It is the nature of the markets to surge then pause and retrace.

Trends in markets make a series of peaks and troughs as they move. An uptrend consists of a series of ascending peaks and troughs, each peak higher than the last peak and each trough lower than the last trough. A downtrend consists of a series of descending peaks and troughs. A sidways trend consists of a series of horizontal peaks and troughs meaning all peaks and all troughs are almost on the same level.

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Why Trade Exotic Currency Options?

Author: Ahmad Hassam  //  Category: loans
by Ahmad Hassam

Currency Options are used by companies as risk management tools. What are Options? Simply stated, it is a contract that gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy an underlying asset under specific conditions on payment of a premium.

The buyer may or may not exercise the right. However, if the buyer of an options contract exercises his/her right, the seller is obligated to perform.

In all currency transactions, one currency is purchased and another is sold. So, every currency option is both a call and a put option. A call option conveys the right to buy the underlying currency at a specified price before a certain date. A put gives the buyer the right to sell at a predetermined price before a fixed date.

Now, why options are important as a risk management and hedging tool? Lets make it clear with an example. Suppose a Japanese company has to make the payment for its imports of raw material in three months time in US Dollar.

The Japanese company can stay unhedged. It can purchase US Dollar at prevailing spot rate in three months time. On the other hand, it can hedge. Buy USD forwards or it can use an options strategy.

One of the hedging strategies available to the Japanese company is to buy JPY put and USD call option. Buying the JPY put option will put a ceiling on the cost of imports in case JPY goes down and depreciates in 3 months. The company limits the cost to a maximum while at the same time not limiting the minimum. You can trade these five exotic options to make profits under different market conditions. In case of a loss, you will only lose the small premium that you had paid while buying these exotic options.

Digital options are simple, easy and inexpensive to trade. If you think, the EUR/USD rate is going to be above 1.0800 after 2 months but you are not sure about the timing of this move taking place within the next two months, buy a digital option. If after 2 months, the EUR/USD rate is indeed above 1.0800, you get your profit. If not, your digital option will expire. You with lose only a small premium that you had to pay while purchasing the digital option.

One Touch Options are perfect vehicles for those forex traders who believe that there will be a retracement. The price action of a given currency pair will test a support/resistance level with a false breakout. The one touch options will pay a profit if the market touches the predetermined barrier level. If not, you lose a small premium.

A No Touch Option is a great way that you can use to profit from a trending market. The no touch option pays a profit if the market never touches the barrier level that you choose. All you need to do is to determine the desired payoff, the currency pair that you want to trade, the barrier price and the expiration date of the option.

A Double No Touch Option is perfect for you if you have the track record of identifying and profiting from breakouts but always lose money in a ranging market. On the other hand, you can use a Double One Touch Option if you know how to pick the tops and bottoms in a ranging market but always lose in a breakout market.

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